Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.303957 1.606578 2.004355 2.586046 3.454561 4.780158e+00 7.145350
2025-11-23 0.895303 1.203404 1.670657 2.494588 4.090384 7.632245e+00 19.446056
2025-11-30 0.730885 1.041039 1.560744 2.619127 5.199856 1.386849e+01 103.829785
2025-12-07 0.616070 0.910955 1.439067 2.631578 6.133095 2.409719e+01 10694.988028
2025-12-14 0.528390 0.800969 1.311703 2.553400 6.772502 3.980782e+01 NaN
2025-12-21 0.467797 0.724230 1.223830 2.521876 7.607517 7.595141e+01 NaN
2025-12-28 0.440773 0.702104 1.239342 2.775557 10.336109 4.540554e+02 NaN
2026-01-04 0.410340 0.667262 1.216838 2.909759 13.086021 1.424040e+07 NaN
2026-01-11 0.377506 0.622086 1.159014 2.898459 15.040645 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.345630 0.574306 1.084591 2.792364 16.015384 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.325413 0.547705 1.056570 2.850553 19.474402 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.311277 0.531798 1.052007 3.005845 26.167545 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.292643 0.504543 1.013767 3.004883 31.159717 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.272262 0.471439 0.954333 2.879710 32.734424 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.262161 0.459758 0.951545 3.031969 47.127133 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.249405 0.440718 0.924436 3.047102 59.356539 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.235266 0.417209 0.880657 2.950221 64.699566 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.223840 0.398897 0.849416 2.911254 76.488768 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.220758 0.399419 0.874244 3.226164 177.601481 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.214656 0.392224 0.874217 3.394029 392.039721 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.205934 0.378004 0.849691 3.379861 632.435486 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.196042 0.360246 0.811452 3.247140 698.208035 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.190049 0.351458 0.801150 3.319864 2099.148525 NaN NaN